Wait! Don’t bet for the Yankees yet (I know you will) because you like that team or they are so famous. You need to look at each game objectively and bet accordingly. While baseball is one of the easiest sports to handicap, it does require some research just like any other sports. As a betting enthusiast myself, I’ve been through so many betting experiences before I can truly say that I’m quite an expert and I’ve been making money in MLB betting. So what are the things you need to do to guaranteed a win in MLB betting? The first part of a great betting strategy is patience. With 30 teams playing 162 games each season, there are thousands of opportunities to place bets. Be selective and wait for the opportunities that give you the edge using these MLB betting tips. To further proceed, here are 5 MLB betting tips guaranteed to help you make money this baseball season.
Underdogs Often Offer More Value
Betting underdogs is more important in baseball where even good teams lose 70-plus games each year. The oddsmakers often inflate the line on the favorites because they know the general public likes to bet the favorites. Add a couple of filters and there is great value betting underdogs. Consider that the more favorites you bet, the higher the percentage of wins you'll need to break even. So if you keep in mind that even the poorest baseball teams seldom win fewer than 35% of their games, it is obvious that a good MLB betting strategy must include this tip.
Set a Limit for Betting on Favorites
This is all about getting the most value when picking favorites. While many successful baseball bettors look to play underdogs first, favorites frequently offer good value as well, such as top teams playing on the road as a slight favorite. However, the oddsmakers often inflate the odds on large favorites. Thus, you should implement a strict limit on how much you lay on a favorite.
Starting Pitching is Important, But Be Careful
The third MLB betting tip is to not over-emphasize the importance of pitching. Once you get past the top 20 or so pitchers in each league, most of the pitchers are fairly equal.
With that in mind, here are a few things that can help you forecast how well a pitcher will perform: (1) Compare the two starting pitchers using a ranking (2) How has each starting pitcher done against the opposing team? (3) How have the starting pitchers performed at home and on the road? (4) How do the pitchers perform in day and night games?
Know the Hitters
There are some experts who believe that this is more important than pitching. Whether you believe that hitting is more important or not, you will miss many money making opportunities if you ignore it. Here are a couple points to consider: (1) How have the hitters performed against left-handed starting pitchers? (2) How have the hitters performed at home and on the road?
Do Not Ignore Bullpen Pitching
The fifth MLB betting tip is extremely important. Everyone knows that starting pitching is important – especially when you take into consideration their splits against certain pitchers and teams. However, what many novice bettors ignore is bullpen pitching. Understanding a team's bullpen strength is often more important than starting pitching.
In 2006 the top five teams with the best bullpen earned run averages (ERA) were the Twins, Mets, Padres, Tigers and Athletics. They were also the five most profitable money line teams in 2006: Twins (+2,415), Mets (+1,728), Padres (+849), Tigers (+1,418) and Athletics (+1,984).
In 2010, the five teams with the best MLB Bullpen ERA were the Padres (2.81), World Champ Giants (2.99), Braves (3.11), Devil Rays (3.33) and Nationals (3.33). For $100 bettors, the combined money line profit for these five teams was +$3,490.48 (not as good as 2006 but still very good).
Coincidence? Not likely. This MLB Betting Tip will put money in your wallet. In addition to the bullpen ERA, pay attention to the bullpen workload. It may be smart to fade (bet against) a team that already has a weak bullpen and cannot use their best setup guy or closer because they are over worked.
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